July 2, 2026
Improvement by subtraction. A bearish penalty expired as Bitcoin bounced, clearing the one-month drawdown flag while positive inputs held. A measurable jump in the daily score, but conditions still remain Neutral.
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Sept 18: ETF Alert Clears as Bitcoin Tops $81k
Bitcoin surged 6% to cross $81,000 today, propelled by surprise agency rulemaking moves from the CFTC and SEC that triggered over $230M in forced short liquidations. The rally coincided with a sharp slowdown in institutional selling, as five-day ETF outflows narrowed to -$440M.
Sept 17: ETF Outflows Deepen
Equities and Bitcoin bounced today, but worsening institutional BTC ETF selling kept system conditions anchored in the neutral zone. Five-day outflows deepened to -$882M, maintaining a red alert on the risk dashboard monitor.
Sept 16: Fed Hikes, ETF Outflows
The Federal Reserve raised rates by 25 bps today to 3.75%–4.00%, delivering its first hike in three years. While Bitcoin held resilient near $76,171, institutional selling tripped a red alert on the risk dashboard today.
Sept 15: The CLARITY Flush
The U.S. Senate failed to invoke cloture on the CLARITY Act (49–50), terminating near-term hopes for a statutory digital asset framework before the midterms. The news sparked $760M+ in cross-market liquidations, disproportionately flushing leveraged longs and pulling Bitcoin down 4.4%.