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The Saturday Briefing
Monthly recap of the risk dashboard. One macro brief. One easy-to-understand chapter.
Once a month, on the last Saturday, to your inbox. What moved in the markets, what's on the calendar, plus an easy-to-understand deep dive on one macro concept that builds a real foundation in finance over time. The Saturday Briefing ran weekly through August 2026 and is now a monthly letter.
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Every issue you get
The dashboard
Where the dashboard stands: how many indicators are clear, and which one is closest to its line.
What's on deck
The macro catalysts coming up: CPI, FOMC, the prints worth watching.
The chapter
One concept explained in easy-to-understand terms, building a real foundation over time.
Browse past briefings ↓
Every issue's dashboard state, the month's movers, and the chapter, searchable and indexed.
The Manual
34 easy-to-understand chapters, one per issue. Read end to end, they walk the entire path: from how money works to every indicator on the risk dashboard.
PROLOGUEStart Here1 chapter›
1. Why DCA beats timing the market : buying a fixed amount on a set schedule removes emotion and buys more when prices are lower. The habit the daily report is built around.
PHASE 1The Evolution of Money7 chapters›
2. What is Bitcoin, actually? : decentralized digital currency, Satoshi 2009, hedge vs money printing
3. A brief history of money : barter → coins → paper backed by gold → paper backed by nothing
4. What is fiat currency? : money valuable because the government says so, and where it gets fragile
5. The 1971 Nixon Shock : when the US dollar went off the gold standard, and what changed forever
6. What the Federal Reserve actually does : central bank, rates, money supply, why all investors watch Fed meetings
7. How fiat inflation actually happens : money printing, M2 expansion, why the dollar buys ~97% less than in 1913
8. The 2008 financial crisis, made easy to understand : what broke, bailouts, why decentralized assets launched three months later
PHASE 2The Macro Signals8 chapters›
9. The economic calendar: the dates that move markets : the scheduled releases (inflation, the Fed, jobs) that can move markets in minutes, and why every issue lists the next ones in its Coming up section.
10. What is the VIX? : Wall Street's fear gauge. On the dashboard, below 29.25 is clear, 29.25 to 34.99 is caution, 35 and above is an alert, and above 45 reads full panic. Unusually low readings, under about 12, get their own label: too calm
11. OAS / credit spreads : the extra interest risky companies pay to borrow. Low = calm; a spike = Wall Street smells trouble. One of the dashboard's early-warning rows.
12. What is M2 money supply? : total dollars in the economy, and why it matters for asset prices
13. The US Dollar Index (DXY) : measures the dollar's strength; a weak dollar is historically a risk-asset tailwind, a strong one a headwind.
14. Why oil prices move markets : Brent crude as a growth/inflation signal; spikes raise rate pressure, crashes ease it.
15. The Sahm Rule : a recession early-warning built from unemployment momentum; it flips before the headlines do.
16. The yield curve : when short rates top long rates, the bond market is pricing trouble; in past cycles recessions have followed with a long and variable lag.
PHASE 3Scarcity & Supply3 chapters›
17. Bitcoin vs gold : five differences that matter (supply, portability, divisibility, verifiability, settlement speed)
18. The 21 million supply cap : what happens after the last bitcoin is mined (~2140), hard vs soft scarcity
19. The halving : Bitcoin's supply cut in half every ~4 years, why miners care, why traders watch
PHASE 4How it works under the hood6 chapters›
20. Who is Satoshi Nakamoto? : the anonymous founder, why anonymity was the point, why 1.1M dormant BTC matter
21. What is blockchain? : a public ledger anyone reads but no one secretly edits
22. Decentralization : what "no one controls it" really means and why it matters
23. What is Bitcoin mining? : how new BTC is created, why it uses so much electricity, "proof of work" explained
24. How a Bitcoin transaction actually settles : vs credit card (3 days), wire (1-3 days), ACH (1-5 days). Bitcoin: 10–60 minutes
25. Self-custody : "not your keys, not your coins." Hardware wallets, seed phrases, the exchange tradeoff
PHASE 5The Broader Digital Asset Landscape3 chapters›
26. Altcoins and the meme coin trap : why "crypto" ≠ "Bitcoin," and why most tokens are speculation, not money
27. Stablecoins : Tether, USDC, and the dollar on a blockchain. What backs them (or doesn't)
28. Spot Bitcoin ETFs (Jan 2024) : what an ETF is, why the SEC fought them for a decade, why approval was a watershed
PHASE 6Sentiment & Trend Signals5 chapters›
29. The Fear & Greed Index : daily 0-100 sentiment, and why "be greedy when others are fearful" does and does not tell you
30. The 200-day average : the market's most-watched trend line; why trading well below it flags weakness and reclaiming it matters.
31. What is the MVRV ratio? : market value vs what holders actually paid. How it shows whether holders are sitting on gains or losses
32. What is "on-chain" data? : every Bitcoin transaction is public. Active addresses, exchange outflows, long-term holder supply
33. Asset dominance & risk rotation : how capital flows from safe havens into speculative risk; high = flight to safety, falling = risk rotating into alts.
CAPSTONEPutting It to Work1 chapter›
34. How the risk dashboard puts it all together : the macro and market reads you've learned, side by side on one dashboard, each against its own caution and alert levels. What to watch and how to read it, without anyone telling you what to buy or sell. Where the whole series lands.
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