August 17: The Quiet Window
Nine quiet days separate today from PCE and Jackson Hole hitting back to back at month end. The engine holds a clear window for DCA execution.
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August 21: The Crowd Arrives
Bitcoin has gained 21% in three sessions, to $78,242. Crypto sentiment ran from 31 to 72 in four days, out of fear and into greed, so the engine subtracted 10 points for today's greed reading and the composite score eased to +17.
August 20: Breaking the 200-Day
Sentiment shifted, then price followed. Snapping a 95-day fear streak sparked a breakout. Fueled by $800M+ in ETF inflows, Bitcoin surged 5%+ past its 200-day trend to hit a +24 score. We will continue monitoring this trend of sentiment front-running capital
August 19: Knocking on the Door
Bitcoin's price just woke up. It is testing its 200-day simple moving average for the first time in over three months, currently sitting just 0.8% below the line. With five-day spot ETF inflows accelerating to +$238M and sentiment pulling out of the fear zone, the momentum seems to be shifting.
August 18: Crypto Fear Breaks
Crypto sentiment lifted out of the fear zone for the first time since mid-May, and spot Bitcoin ETFs turned net buyers at +$71M. The score eased a point to +23 FAVORABLE as the engine trimmed the contrarian fear bonus.