Both inflation reports came in cool, so the pause expired and conditions read favorable on their own merits again. Bond yields fell as traders priced more room for the Fed. Two quiet weeks, then the Fed decides.
The committee of twelve that replaced the gold standard, how it sets interest rates, and why traders watch its calendar so closely.
All ten risk thresholds read healthy today (see the 10-institional dashboard below) — credit, the Sahm rule, oil, the dollar, both ISM readings, volatility, BTC ETF flows and dominance, and stablecoins.
Brent oil: ~$71 (Jul 1) → $101 today, about +41% in three weeks.
Corporate Credit is healthy (OAS 2.69%) | VIX is calm (17) | Employment stable (0.07)