US factories just posted their strongest month in 4 years — but the bigger services read lands Wednesday, and that's the one markets actually wait for. Meanwhile Bitcoin slipped below $72K as ETF outflows hit a record and oil spiked. Here's why patience beats buying the dip this week.
The committee of twelve that replaced the gold standard, how it sets interest rates, and why traders watch its calendar so closely.
All ten risk thresholds read healthy today (see the 10-institional dashboard below) — credit, the Sahm rule, oil, the dollar, both ISM readings, volatility, BTC ETF flows and dominance, and stablecoins.
Brent oil: ~$71 (Jul 1) → $101 today, about +41% in three weeks.
Corporate Credit is healthy (OAS 2.69%) | VIX is calm (17) | Employment stable (0.07)